Limits to Growth is an early detailed report on examination of global limits on human population, published in 1972, commissioned by Club of Rome. A computer simulation report study used World3 computer model. (World3 a system dynamics model, based on Jay Wright Forrester’s World2 world, with added new features, World3 produced and used by Club of Rome, which commissioned the Limits to Growth report, created by Dennis Meadows).
The report authors are Donella H. Meadows, Dennis L. Meadows, Jogen Randers, and William W. Behrens III. An update published in 2012, a 40-year forecast from Jogen Randers 2052: A Global Forecast for the Next Forty Years. In 2022, Dennis Meadows and Jogen Randers joined 19 other contributors published Limits and Beyond.
According to Club of Rome, the main purposes are three objectives:
1, Gain insights into the limits of our world system and the constraints it puts on human numbers and activity.
2, Identify and study the dominant elements and their interactions that influence the long-term behaviour of world system.
3, To warn of the likely outcome of contemporary economic and industrial policies, with a view to influencing changes to a sustainable lifestyle.
The World3 Model:
The model is based on five variables: population, food production, industrialisation, pollution and consumption of nonrenewable natural resources.
The report’s conclusion:
1, The most probable result will be a sudden and uncontrollable decline in both population and industrial capacity.
2, The state of global equilibrium could be designed so that the basic material needs of each person on earth are satisfied and each person has an equal opportunity to realise his individual human potential.
3, If the world’s people decide to strive for this second outcome the sooner they begin working to attain it, the greater will be their chances of success.
The original report: https://archive.org/details/limitstogrowthr00mead
Source: https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/The_Limits_to_Growth https://web.archive.org/web/20101128151523/http://www.csiro.au/files/files/plje.pdf https://ui.adsabs.harvard.edu/abs/2012Natur.486…52B https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Carrying_capacity
Meandering leads to perfection 